Who’s In and Who’s Out of the NCAA Tournament

Sportsbook – BetUS Sportsbook sponsored this site: They provide a reliable, secure and legal sports betting service. Check out their sponsorship details.

We’re just mere days away from the start of the greatest three weeks of the year: The NCAA Tournament. Today, I’m giving you a quick breakdown of who is a lock to make the tournament, who is on the bubble and who is out. I’ll start with the major conference locks and the small conference automatic bids, then move to the at-large locks and finally to the bubble teams who are in and out. Don’t forget to check out my NCAA Tournament Pool, which still has a few days left to enter.

Automatic Bids (* denotes the team has officially clinched a spot)

  • Vermont (America East)
  • North Carolina (ACC)
  • *Belmont (Atlantic Sun)
  • Xavier (A-10)
  • Georgetown (Big East)
  • Weber State (Big Sky)
  • *Winthrop (Big South)
  • Ohio State (Big Ten)
  • Kansas (Big 12)
  • Long Beach State (Big West)
  • *VCU (CAA)
  • Memphis (C-USA)
  • *Wright State (Horizon)
  • *Penn (Ivy)
  • *Niagara (MAAC)
  • Toledo (MAC)
  • Delaware St (MEAC)
  • *Oral Roberts (Mid-Continent)
  • *Creighton (Missouri Valley)
  • UNLV (Mountain West)
  • Central Connecticut State (Northeast)
  • *Eastern Kentucky (Ohio Valley)
  • UCLA (Pac-10)
  • Holy Cross (Patriot League)
  • Florida (SEC)
  • *Davidson (Southern)
  • Texas A&M – Corpus Christi (Southland)
  • *North Texas (Sunbelt)
  • Mississippi Valley State (SWAC)
  • Nevada (WAC)
  • Gonzaga (WCC)

So with 31 of the bids out of the way, here are teams that are locks to receive an at-large bid into the tournament:

At-Large Locks

  • Boston College (ACC)
  • Duke (ACC)
  • Maryland (ACC)
  • Virginia (ACC)
  • Virginia Tech (ACC)
  • Notre Dame (Big East)
  • Louisville (Big East)
  • Pittsburgh (Big East)
  • Villanova (Big East)
  • Marquette (Big East)
  • Wisconsin (Big 10)
  • Indiana (Big 10)
  • Texas A&M (Big 12)
  • Texas (Big 12)
  • Butler (Horizon)
  • Southern Illinois (Missouri Valley)
  • BYU (Mountain West)
  • Arizona (Pac-10)
  • USC (Pac-10)
  • Washington State (Pac-10)
  • Oregon (Pac-10)
  • Kentucky (SEC)
  • Tennessee (SEC)
  • Vanderbilt (SEC)

So with 24 more places secured into the Big Dance, that make 55 total. This leaves room for 10 bubble teams. I’ll describe each teams chances below, along with what I think is going to happen.

Bubble Teams In

  • Georgia Tech (ACC) – I think if Tech wins it’s first round ACC tourney game, they’re in for sure. I don’t think they have much to worry about anyway, unless there are a lot of upsets in small conference tournaments.
  • Syracuse (Big East) – The ‘Cuse should be in after beating up on UConn in the first round of the Big East tourney, but you never know.
  • Texas Tech (Big 12) – Bobby Knight will be sweating it out on Selection Sunday if he loses his first round game in the Big 12 tournament.
  • Air Force (Mountain West) – It’s simple for Air Force at this point. Beat Wyoming and they are a lock. Lose and they’ll be sweating on Sunday.
  • Drexel (CAA) – They’re nearly a lock and now they only need to hope for few upsets in the small conference tourneys, which take away excessive at-large bids.
  • Old Dominion (CAA) – Three teams from the CAA in the Big Dance? I can see it happening, as all three are quality squads. Who’d have thought you’d have 3 CAA teams and not one of them would be George Mason?
  • Stanford (Pac-10) – Want to see a potentially huge sleeper this year? This is my team. They’ve got huge size to cause big, big problems for smallish teams. Win a few in the Pac-10 tourney and they’ll improve their seeding.
  • Alabama (SEC) – Now is where it gets really tough. I don’t think Alabama is in. But they are a desperate team, faced with multiple must-win games. I think Ronald Steele and crew will rise to the occasion and play some solid basketball in the SEC tournament to fight their way in.
  • Missouri State (Missouri Valley) – Missouri State only gets in if there are no upsets in the small conference tourneys. They are in by default, not because they played their way in.
  • Michigan State (Big 10) – Michigan State must beat Northwestern in the opening round of the Big 10 tourney to assure their place in. They won’t beat Wisconsin in the quarters and have a horrible road record. I do think in the end, they’ll sneak in though.

So there it is, your 2007 field of 65. Below is a list of the last 5 teams left out of the equation:

Bubble Teams Out

  • Clemson (ACC)
  • Florida State (ACC)
  • Illinois (Big 10)
  • West Virginia (Big East)
  • Kansas State (Big 12)

Getting tourney fever yet? If it hasn’t hit you yet, it surely will soon. Make sure to check out my NCAA March Madness Pool to satisfy your urge to bet recklessly on sporting events! Once the brackets are announced, I’ll have first round predictions on this very blog, which I’m sure will include multiple controversial upsets.

Who do you guys think are in and out of the tournament? Leave your thoughts in the comments.